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UPSC Optional 2025Question 16Political Science and International RelationsIndian Foreign Policy150 words

Would you agree with the contention that India’s inclination to lean on a ‘more aggressive hyper-realist posture’ has gained a new momentum in the aftermath of the Pahalgam terrorist strike? Comment. (Answer in 150 words)

Model answer & approach

- Would you agree with the contention that India’s inclination to lean on a ‘more aggressive hyper-realist posture’ has gained a new momentum in the aftermath of the Pahalgam terrorist strike? Comment. (Answer in 150 words)
Introduction
I agree in part. Operation Sindoor hardened India's coercive doctrine and pushed it beyond the military domain, but the restraint that followed marks calibrated realism rather than hyper-realism.

Body
1. Trigger and response: after the Pahalgam attack of 22 April 2025 killed twenty-six civilians, India struck nine terrorist sites in Pakistan and Pakistan-occupied Kashmir on 7 May.
2. Escalation of instruments: holding the Indus Waters Treaty of 1960 in abeyance was unprecedented, and closing Attari and the SAARC visa scheme turned water and connectivity into levers.
3. The doctrine: the declared new normal treats a terror attack as an act of war and refuses nuclear blackmail — compellence in Schelling's sense, continuous with Uri (2016) and Balakot (2019).
4. The continuity: targets stayed non-civilian, escalation was halted on 10 May, No First Use survives and mediation is still refused — Kautilyan prudence, not offensive realism.

Conclusion
Momentum has gained and the retaliation threshold is visibly lower, but hyper-realist framing narrows India's own diplomatic exits. Grand strategy remains multi-aligned, so call this a harder realism rather than hyper-realism.
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